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Posted by Finotec on Monday July 26, 2010 8:10 am

The combination of growing confidence in Europe’s economy and mounting evidence of a slowdown in the U.S. is driving euro bears into hiding.


Long signalShort signal
  Buy a break of resistance level at 1.2960 Sell a break of support level at 1.2730
EUR/USD Buy a break of resistance level at 1.3030 Sell a break of support level at 1.2700
  Buy a bounce at 1.2730 Sell a failure of breaking the resistance 1.2960

Fundamental
The combination of growing confidence in Europe’s economy and mounting evidence of a slowdown in the U.S. is driving euro bears into hiding. After tracking the euro’s slide from about $1.45 at the beginning of 2010, the median forecast of currency strategists has stayed within two cents of $1.20 since the start of June, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Wells Fargo & Co. raised their estimates in the past two weeks, joining HSBC Holdings Plc and Deutsche Bank AG in predicting a stronger euro.

Technical
Technical analysis shows the euro may continue the bullish movement as MACD crosses the signal line upwards and RSI bounces on 30% line. Bollinger gives us a bullish signal by closing the candle above the middle band.

EUR/USD (Daily Chart)
The primary tendency breaks downtrend line upwards.

EUR/USD (4 Hour Chart)
The pair is in a clear uptrend.

EUR/USD (Hourly Chart)
The Minor trend trying to break Fibonacci fan.

Resistance
1.2960
1.3030

Support
1.2730
1.2700

 







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